3M Open Picks & Predictions. Kyle Porter, of CBS Sports, is going with Harris English. Jul 21, 2020 This week, the PGA Tour is playing the 3M Open at TPC Twin Cities in Blaine, Minn. We’ll give Melton the floor to see if he can win with smaller odds, too. Who does he like?
This week’s 3M Open will have a bit of a weaker golf field with last week’s Memorial being a big tournament for players and the next two weeks being the WGC FedEx St. Jude and then the PGA Championship before gearing up for the end of the PGA Tour season with the FedEx Cup playoffs. For golf bettors looking to make picks for the 3M Open, this week can be a bit of a challenge picking who will win and who to bet on.
Although there will be a few big name golfers in the field like Brooks Koepka and Dustin Johnson, many will take a pass this week to rest up and focus on the next few weeks of tournaments.
Should you focus your betting strategy on betting on the favorites this week? Last year had a few big names in the field and they did “Okay” and with the next few weeks of big tournaments there are times where a big name favorite simply uses the course and tournament as a practice round to work some things out in his game. That doesn’t mean you need to completely fade the favorites either since some are still trying to collect some more FedEx Cup points to be in a better position when the NORTHERN TRUST starts up.
Last year was the first year for the 3M Open and it was a bit of a birdie fest with three guys finishing with a score of -20 or less and the cut line being at -3. Expect similar scores this week especially from guys that played last year and have some history at the course.
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Here’s a perfect example of a player that is really low in the FedEx Cup standings that would be primed to do well this week to collect the points that he needs to move upwards. In a tournament with a weak field and plenty of scoring opportunities this may be a great week for Koepka to flex those big arms and power his way to a tournament win!
+16! Or more importantly – 80 in round 1 and 80 in round 2! Johnson looked lost at the Memorial Tournament last week but I would rather chalk that up to a bad week and see him at lower odds this week for the 3M Open and a weaker field. If he misses the cut this week then alarm bells can start going off but I may be inclined to put a couple of bucks on him and see if he bounces back and destroys the field. Originally I would have faded Johnson this week and assumed that he was taking this as a practice round but after his performance at the Memorial…He may want to re-establish his mark on the PGA Tour.
Played well at the Memorial which probably will make his betting odds for the 3M Open drop a bit but he still will be long odds to win. In a weaker field tournament like this, there are better chances of a lesser known golfers to come in and win so Hughes does become a bit more interesting if you buy into that theory.
Burns has played pretty well lately and had last week off from the Memorial Tournament. Burns played great at last year’s 3M Open with two rounds of 66 and a 64 on the final Sunday. He is a longshot bet to win this week but if you like making longshot picks…he does make a decent choice.
Paul Casey – I wasn’t high on Casey last week at the Memorial because he hadn’t played much since the return of golf and him missing the cut proved it. In his defense he would have made the cut if he hadn’t shot an 8 on the par three 12th hole on Friday. No worries, he gets to shake that off and play in a weak field this week and should be looked at possibly as a favorite but with a few other big names playing, his odds will be more enticing if you want to bet on him to win the 3M Open outright.
Tommy Fleetwood – Will probably be more of a favorite when it comes to betting odds this week but be warned, this is his first start in a very long time and he could be pretty rusty coming into the 3M Open. He is still a great golfer and in such a weak field he can’t be ignored. I would look to see who he is matched up against in some two-ball or three-ball matchups and see if his odds make him a better choice to bet on then.
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